First of all, look at these 7 big names …
- Narendra Modi (BJP, NDA)
- Nitish Kumar (JDU, NDA)
- Rahul Gandhi (Congress, Grand Alliance)
- Tejashwi Yadav (RJD, Grand Alliance)
- Prashant Kishore (Jan Suraj)
- Chirag Paswan (LJP-Ramvilas, NDA)
- Asaduddin Owaisi (AIMIM)
The names of these big leaders should be counted because they are the most dominated in Bihar elections. Every leader has his own issue and his vote bank, but not enough to form the government. Everyone is trying to get ahead of each other.
So let us understand in ABP Expluser how important Bihar elections will be done for these 7 big leaders, how big it will be able to do and how will the election results be reversed…
Question 1- Will PM Modi prove to be a big game changer in Bihar elections?
answer- Prime Minister Narendra Modi is the biggest person to influence Bihar elections …
- Important thing: Narendra Modi is the biggest face of the Prime Minister and the BJP. His rallies draw millions. They focus on schemes and development like Hindutva, Center’s Ujjwala and Ayushman Bharat. As a result, in 2020, BJP got 74 seats with 19.46% vote share.
- Effect on Bihar elections: PM Modi’s rallies give energy to NDA. They entice the upper castes i.e. Brahmins, Rajputs and urban voters. In 2020, his rallies won the NDA. This time the BJP is fighting in 80-90 seats and in the opinion poll it is expected to get 50-60 seats.
- Will the results be reversed: According to experts, if PM Modi’s rallies affect rural and OBC voters, then BJP’s vote share can reach 20-22%, which can give NDA 10-15 extra seats. But if the Grand Alliance dominates local issues, then their effect may be reduced.
Question 2- How much effect Nitish Kumar’s Bihar election is in 2025?
answer- The 2025 Bihar assembly election is a decisive turn for the current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, because both his personal heritage and the image of the party are at stake …
- Important thing: Nitish Kumar is the Chief Minister of Bihar and the leader of JDU. For 20 years, he has been in the politics of Bihar and is known for improving roads, electricity and law and order. His hold is on Kushwaha, EBC i.e. very backward classes and Mahadalit voters. 74 -year -old Nitish’s health is questioned, but he specializes in handling caste equations. JDU with 15.39% vote share in 2020
- Effect on Bihar elections: This time the voters will decide whether their image of the development man known for the confidence of stability and law and order is still intact or not. Or political fatigue, policy deadlock and frequent changing trend have weakened his mandate. The biggest challenge before Nitish is to fight the anti-incumbency wave. Nitish has to compete with a strong anti-power wave against his government. Apart from this, political debate about his age and mental health in 74 years has also been sparked. Opposition leaders are openly doubting his ability to rule.
- Will the results be reversed: According to experts, yes. If Nitish keeps EBC and Mahadalit votes united and seat sharing with BJP is strong, then NDA’s victory can be confirmed. But if the voter list controversy or anti-incumbency wave increases, JDU’s vote share could fall by 10-12%, which can reduce 20-30 seats.
Question 3- How important is Rahul Gandhi in Bihar elections 2025?
answer- This election is a big test for Rahul Gandhi to re -erect his national leadership and the Congress party. This will give far -reaching impacts on the position of Congress in India Block and Opposition politics …
- Important thing: Rahul Gandhi is the leader of the Congress and the Leader of the Opposition in the Lok Sabha. India is the popularity of joint travel and focus on young women focused issues i.e. jobs and reservation. Their pairing with young leaders like Kanhaiya Kumar is in discussion in Bihar. In 2020, the Congress got 19 seats with 9.48% vote share.
- Effect on Bihar elections: Rahul’s rallies and padyatras give strength to the grand alliance. They are trying to woo EBC, Dalit and young voters. The Congress is fighting 30-40 seats this time and it is expected to get 10-15 seats in the opinion poll. The press conference on Rahul’s Voter Adhikar Yatra and the disturbances in the voter list has made a big impact on the Bihar elections. The people of Bihar can be attracted by this.
- Will the results be reversed: Given the continuous defeat in Maharashtra, Haryana and Delhi, there is a huge pressure on Rahul to gain a solid lead in Bihar. This time, he prepared a manifesto like ‘Extreme Backward Justice Sankalp’ for the most backward classes. Rahul’s public campaigns increase leadership quality. According to experts, if Rahul is able to add youth and minority votes with Tejashwi, then the Grand Alliance can get 5-10 extra seats.
Question 4- Will Tejashwi Yadav be able to play in the election this time?
answer- For Tejashwi Yadav, this election is a do or die test for the future of personal leadership and RJD. This is the best chance for Tejashwi to become CM for the first time because the anti -incumbency against Nitish is giving him advantage …
- Specialty: Tejashwi Yadav is the son of Lalu Yadav and former deputy CM of Bihar. Being Lalu’s son, he has a strong hold in 14% voters of Yadav society and 17% of Muslim voters. They are aggressive on unemployment, migration and caste census. Raghopur is contesting from seat. In 2020, RJD got 75 seats with 23.11% vote share.
- Effect on Bihar elections: Tejashwi Yadav is the star campaign of RJD. Their rallies connect Muslim-Yaw and young voters. They are pressurizing the NDA by raising issues like voter list disturbances. In the opinion poll, the Grand Alliance is estimated to get 90-100 seats, in which RJD can contribute 70-80 seats. Many voters, tired from Nitish Kumar’s long term of nearly 20 years, are looking for a new option, which appears as a young and dynamic leader in Tejashwi. It attracts traditional RJD supporters and anti -incumbency voters.
- Will the results be reversed: Experts say that if the stunning non-Yadav OBC and EBC voters can be attracted and the vote share of the Grand Alliance reaches 35%, then they can form the government. But the weakness of Congress and Left parties can make their path difficult. It is also necessary to increase 2020 23% vote share. Then he became the main face of the opposition in Bihar. Now they have to turn the election results.
Question 5- What is at stake for Prashant Kishore?
answer- Strategist -turned -politician Kishore is making electoral start in Bihar and is trying to create a meaningful land for his Jan Suraj Party (JSP) …
- Important thing: Prashant Kishore was the first political strategist to win the election to many leaders. Now he is contesting all 243 seats by forming a Jan Suraj Party. They focus on issues like youth, unemployment and corruption. He did not have a party in 2020, so there is no old data.
- Effect on Bihar elections: Prashant Kishore is a new face and is attracting urban, middle class and young voters. They can cut the votes of NDA and Grand Alliance. In the opinion poll, his party is expected to get 5-10 seats and 8-12% vote share. Kishore announced that his party would contest all 243 assembly seats independently and will not tie up in any alliance. The purpose of JSP is to break the long-standing political duplex of JDU-BJP and RJD-Congress.
- Will the results be reversed: According to experts, it is difficult to turn the result completely, but if their vote share reaches 10-15%, then they can affect the seats of NDA and Grand Alliance. His party can become a big factor in future. The big challenge is to convert Kishore’s individual brand and strategic expertise into assembly seats.
Question 6- Will Chirag Paswan bat in Bihar like Center?
answer- Chirag Paswan’s victory in Bihar was dazzling on papers, but his influence at the ground level was weak. He won 6 Lok Sabha cheats in 2014, reiterated the same wonder in 2019 and won 5 seats in 2024 and made headlines in New Delhi. Nevertheless, these win these in the heart belt often seem to win more hollow than the true mandate …
- Important thing: Chirag Paswan is the leader of LJP (Ram Vilas) and a big face of the Dalit-Shupalan community. His father Ram Vilas Paswan’s legacy is his strength. They are strong in eastern Bihar. However, in 2020, his party got only 1 seat with 5.66% vote share.
- Effect on Bihar elections: Chirag’s Dalit vote is necessary for NDA. This time he is fighting in 5-10 seats and his party is expected to get 3-5 seats in the opinion poll. His seat will strengthen the NDA of sharing. This time his biggest test is to prove whether he can convert his hold and Dalit support into his strong presence in the assembly at the national level.
- Will the results be reversed: Experts say that it is difficult for Chirag to reverse the results alone, but if they keep Dalit votes united, then NDA can get 5-10 extra seats. If their vote share increases by 6-8%, then NDA’s victory in eastern Bihar will be easy.
Question 7- How accurate will the bet of Asaduddin Owaisi in Bihar?
answer- Asaduddin Owaisi is the president of AIMIM and MP from Hyderabad …
- Important thing: Owaisi has strong faces of Muslim voters. Owaisi focuses on areas like Kishanganj, Purnia, Araria and Katihar, where Muslim population is high. ‘Seemanchal Nyaya Yatra’ is raising issues of development and justice. In 2020, AIMIM won 5 seats in 20 seats with 14.28% vote share, but 4 MLAs later moved to RJD.
- Effect on Bihar elections: Owaisi is asking for 6 seats to unite Muslim votes and 6 seats from the Grand Alliance. If the alliance is not done, they will fight freely in 20-50 seats, which can divide Muslim-people. Their influence on 24 seats in Seemanchal can damage the Grand Alliance, where in 2020 AIMIM had incurred allegations of vote cut. In the opinion poll, AIMIM is estimated to have 3-7 seats and 5-8% vote share.
- Will the results be reversed: According to experts, Owaisi results can turn if they are able to turn Muslim votes towards AIMIM. This can cut 5-10 seats of the Grand Alliance, which will benefit the NDA. But if the alliance is formed, the grand alliance can be strong. Like 2020, vote distribution can turn the results.
Apart from these, there are also faces like Mukesh Sahni, Jitan Ram Manjhi and Upendra Kushwaha in Bihar elections, which can change the mathematics of seats.